Showing posts with label Hillary Clinton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hillary Clinton. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Reishit Chochma - The Beginning of Wisdom for the Obama Administration?

From remarks given at the Jerusalem Conference, Feb, 17, and excerpted in The Jerusalem Post, Feb 23.

In January 2010, President Barack Obama granted an interview to Time Magazine to mark his first year in office. In discussing the Middle East peace process Obama admitted, “…the Middle East peace process has not moved forward. And I think it's fair to say for all of our efforts at early engagement, it is not where I want it to be. I'll be honest with you. This is just really hard.”

Here in Israel there were people who responded, “Boker Tov, Eliyahu [Good morning Elijah!].” In the United States, the similar response is more direct and not as articulate, and it goes, “Well duh.”

Yes, making peace in the Middle East is really hard, but President Obama’s frustration may actually reflect a historical and almost predictable truism about American Middle East policy in the first year of a president’s term.

The following is an excerpt from Si Kenen’s book Israel’s Defense Line, Her Friends and Foes in Washington. Kenen, my mentor, was the founder of AIPAC. He wrote almost 30 years ago in 1981:

“During the first year of a new presidential term, the petro-diplomatic complex invariably pressures the incoming administration to downgrade Israel and to court Arab friendship. That has been true in every first year except 1965, when Lyndon Johnson was beyond Arab reach. After the election, dust settles on the [parties’ pro-Israel political] platforms and Israel’s foes use inoffensive euphemisms to urge Washington to be ‘more impartial, more evenhanded.’”
Historians can verify Kenen’s formula. Look at Eisenhower’s pressure on Israel to withdraw from the Sinai in 1957, when he threatened to block contributions from American Jewish organizations to Israel. The Administration tried to divide the Jews of America with Secretary of State Dulles inviting a group of major Jewish philanthropists, including leading non-Zionists, to use their influence to persuade Israel to accept the U.S. position.

Jimmy Carter’s term is another classic proof, with him pushing in his first year for a “comprehensive settlement” with all the parties to the conflict, including the Soviet Union. None other than Egypt’s Anwar Sadat saw the folly of such a policy, and he and Israel’s Menachem Begin succeeded in securing the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty, despite Jimmy Carter and his initial objections. Carter went on to accuse Menachem Begin of lying on the issue of freezing settlement construction, claiming that it was to be an indefinite freeze. Sadat himself, as well as notes from the meetings at Camp David, and members of Carter’s own diplomatic team all backed Begin’s claim that the freeze was to be for a duration of no more than three months.

Carter was supported by a small group of radical Jews who pushed for recognition of Yasir Arafat’s PLO. The organization was called Breira, and it never amounted to anything very serious, but it served as a precursor of another fringe organization formed 30 years later – called J Street, a group that describes itself as Obama’s “blocking back.” Like Breira it supports Administration pressure on Israel, condemned Israel defending itself, and calls for negotiations with Israel’s most implacable foes. The only difference is J Street’s sophisticated PR and its large budget.

Eisenhower admitted years later that he was mistaken for pressuring Israel. In 1965 he told his friend and Jewish leader Max Fisher, “... looking back at Suez, I regret what I did. I never should have pressed Israel to evacuate the Sinai.”

What was the reason for Ike’s regret? First, maybe because he recognized that with the United States making the maximalist demands on Israel, the Arab states had no reason to make any concessions in the peace process. Why should they? It was a repeat of the British policies of taking the Arab side in the 1920s when disputes erupted between the local Arab and Jewish communities: Murderous Arab mobs attacked Jews in Hebron, Jaffa and Jerusalem, yelling “Addowlah ma’anah! The government is with us! Itback el yehud! Slaughter the Jews!”

Today, why would Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas be willing to demand anything less on the settlement issue than what President Obama demanded just months ago – a full freeze in the West Bank and Jerusalem?

I believe Eisenhower also realized that the withdrawal would lead to war, something we in Israel learned the hard way after the withdrawal from Gaza in 2005. Neither withdrawal was secured by negotiations with iron-clad guarantees or a change in the uncompromising hatred of Israel – in the 1950s and 60s it was Gamal Abdul Nasser’s hatred that led to the 1967 war; in the last few years it was the hate of Hamas, the local branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, that led to Operation Molten Lead.

Indeed, President Obama’s recent recognition that there is no quick fix for the Middle East conflict may be what we call in Jewish tradition, “Reishit Chochma” the beginning of wisdom. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton repeated it February 14 at the U.S.-Islamic World Forum in Doha. “This is hard work,” she said. “I know people are disappointed that we have not yet achieved a breakthrough. The President, Senator Mitchell, and I are also disappointed. But we must remember that neither the United States nor any country can force a solution.”

The Administration as it starts Year Two has apparently finally learned that the linkage of Iran to the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations was a recipe for disaster. Half a year ago, a senior White House official reportedly declared, “Any treatment of the Iranian nuclear problem will be contingent upon progress in the negotiations and an Israeli withdrawal from West Bank territory."

What a victory for Ahmadinejad was inherent in that alleged statement.

Since then we’ve come some way toward that “Reishit Chachma,” the knowledge that there is no quick fix, and Israel’s neighbors should pay attention to the messages now coming out of Washington. Sen. John Kerry, Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a close ally of the Obama Administration, also spoke at the U.S.-Islamic World Forum last week where he banished the utopian Pollyannish vision of the Administration’s first year:

“Peace alone will not solve all the region’s problems,” Kerry said. “Ask yourselves: If peace were delivered tomorrow, would it meet the job needs of the entire region? How many more children would it send to school? Who really believes that Iran would suddenly abandon its nuclear ambitions? So we know that Israel/Palestine is central, but we must develop a much more practical partnership that extends well beyond regional conflicts.”
With this more realistic attitude toward the region, there is reason for some optimism as the U.S. and Israeli leadership begin their second year in office.

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Sunday, March 8, 2009

The Palestinians Should Get a State, But Do They Deserve One? Not Yet

Why Secretary Hillary Clinton Didn’t See What I Saw

I spent one day in 1996 in Ramallah visiting the nascent Palestinian state. I traveled the few miles from Jerusalem to Ramallah with a colleague to attend a session of the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) – the Palestinian parliament. It was soon after the Palestinian elections, and the scene in the Ramallah parliament was effervescent. Lobbyists were busy plying their trade in the hallways. MPs were jumping up to object to one point or another. And my translator – the daughter of a moderate PLO official stationed in Europe who was assassinated by radical Palestinians – was practically shaking with excitement. The elected body (yes, it was stacked with many of Arafat’s hand-picked candidates) was debating civil service reform, and members kept referring with approval to how things were done “over there.” It was understood by all they were talking about Israel.

Those were the days. And they may never return.

The language of the debate in the PLC was different but the sense of democracy at work reminded me of the debates in the Knesset or the discussions in the corridor outside of the House of Representatives cloakroom.

At that point in history, the close contact between Israel and the West Bank and Gaza was almost 30 years old. Palestinian women’s groups had learned feminist culture from their Israeli sisters. Palestinian newspapers were publishing uncensored stories out of Jerusalem. Agricultural extension experts from Israel’s Ministry of Agriculture were working with their Palestinian counterparts to improve Palestinian agricultural and livestock yields.

Palestinian bankers, businessmen, doctors and nurses were studying Hebrew in the Israeli language school, Ulpan Akiva, so that they could apprentice in Israeli institutions in order to improve skills and facilitate joint projects. Fundamentalist Palestinian Gazans at the ulpan complained to me once that Israeli television broadcasts in Arabic were featuring clips of naked women to entice male viewers, so I introduced them to Israeli feminists so that they could together challenge the broadcast authorities. At the ulpan in Netanya I first met Dr. Ezzeldin Abu Elaish, the Gazan doctor who tragically lost three children during the Hamas-Israeli war in January.

We met with several Palestinian legislators in the Ramallah parliament building, including a young firebrand, Marwan Barghouti, the Secretary-General of Fatah. He was determined to fight Palestinian corruption and to push for independent Palestinian statehood. We thought that it was a positive sign that Barghouti was channeling his passions in the legislative body. But in 2002 Barghouti was arrested by Israeli troops as the mastermind of terrorist attacks against Israelis. He was convicted for the murder of four Israelis and one Greek Orthodox priest and is currently sitting in Israeli prison.

When Secretary of State Clinton travelled to Ramallah from Jerusalem last week she undoubtedly asked herself, “What went wrong?” What turned Barghouti into a murderer, or was he always a terrorist masquerading as a legislator? What evil force dispatched Palestinian suicide bombers into Israeli streets just a few years later? Why did Palestinian security forces, often trained by the CIA and armed by Israel, turn their guns on Israeli civilians and soldiers? What generated the winds of war that could only be blocked by the building of fences and walls separating Arabs and Jews? And now the Katyushas, Grads and Kassams fly over the fences by the thousands. Today, my meetings at Ulpan Akiva seem like fantasies, and in all honesty, I would not venture into Ramallah today for fear of being lynched as a Jew. That was the fate of two Israeli reservists who accidentally wandered into Ramallah four years after my visit.

What went wrong? Critics of Israel quickly respond that Ariel Sharon’s 2000 visit to the Temple Mount (Haram el Sharif to the Arabs) was the catalyst. But we know today that Arafat was planning the second “Intifada” months before Sharon’s visit, even as he met with President Clinton and Prime Minister Barak at Camp David in the summer of 2000. Some of Israel’s detractors would argue that the Israeli settlements led to Palestinian despair and violence. But settlements had existed since 1968; and already in 1997 Palestinian diplomats with whom I dealt were willing to cede 10 percent of the territories, including the settlements, to Israel.

The blame falls primarily on Arafat for poisoning the tentative but promising ties that were developing between Israel and the Palestinians. All cooperation was stopped after he arrived in Gaza in 1994. Local Palestinian leaders and heads of Palestinian government agencies were replaced by Arafat’s minions who accompanied him from Tunis. The “multilateral talks” established in the 1991 Madrid Conference to discuss the vital issues of water, environment, arms control, refugees and economic development were permanently shelved.

It became clear to American negotiators that Arafat was opposed to the two-state solution. “He was not interested or capable of doing an agreement that ended the conflict,” American negotiator Dennis Ross explained before Arafat’s departure from this world. “As long as [Arafat] didn’t have to make an irrevocable commitment, he was quite prepared to sign up to any agreement. Arafat is someone who will never close a door, never foreclose an option. He has to be able to say that he still has claims, still has grievances, and in light of that, the conflict at a certain level goes on....He doesn’t want to be the one that goes down in Palestinian history as the one who precluded a one-state solution [emphasis added].”

Frankly, the U.S. and Israel share some of the blame for covering up Arafat’s aggression. Palestinian newspapers, radio and TV amplified Arafat’s anti-Israeli line. The preachers in Palestinian mosques were appointed by Arafat and spewed forth anti-Semitism. And Palestinian children were poisoned by a toxic, anti-Semitic, bellicose curriculum even before Hamas gained its political power. While serving as a senior Israeli diplomat in Washington in the late 1990s, I was instructed by Israel’s leaders not to circulate a video called Jihad for Kids, a frightening collection of anti-Semitic TV broadcasts recorded off of Palestinian TV. Israeli and American leaders did not want to endanger what remained of the peace process and chose to ignore the venomous pollution of the Palestinian grassroots.

Hillary Clinton came to realize the danger of the Palestinian incitement. While serving as Senator, she reviewed Palestinian propaganda and concluded in a Palestinian Media Watch press conference two years ago: “This propaganda is dangerous. You know, words really matter. Some people sort of downplay the importance of words. But words really matter. Because in idealizing for children a world without Israel, children are taught never to accept the reality of the State of Israel, never to strive for a better future that would hold out the promise of peace and security to them, and is basically a message of pessimism and fatalism that undermines the possibility for these children living lives of fulfillment and productivity.”

The United Nations Charter declared in 1945 that “All peoples have the right of self-determination. By virtue of that right they freely determine their political status and freely pursue their economic, social and cultural development.” That declaration is the basis for many nations’ claim to statehood, including the Kurds, Chechens, Basques and the Palestinians.

Many Israelis believe that right of self-determination should apply to the Palestinians, and Israel proved itself ready to help the development of the Palestinians’ civil society toward that goal. But, after the Palestinians retreated from all forms of cooperation with Israel, choosing a path of confrontation leading to a judenrein one state solution, it was not surprising that a majority of Israelis signaled at the polls last month that they wanted leadership to put the brakes on the establishment of a Palestinian state in the near term. The UN Charter is applicable to “all people” as long as they do not seek the destruction of another. As long as the genocidal Hamas rules a large part of the Palestinian population and threatens to capture control of even more Palestinians in the West Bank and the teeming refugee camps of Lebanon, the Palestinian people will not deserve statehood.

The writer's visit to Ramallah took place when he headed the Jerusalem office of an American Jewish organization, not as an Israeli diplomatic official.

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